Cover "Future Forecast" - An inverted image of people walking
            
Aug 14, 2024

Transformative Technology
Predicting Tomorrow's Technology

Future Forecast is a blog series exploring the technologies that will radically reshape our world, curated by the Otherdays® Team.

Each week, we'll share my take on an emerging technology trend to dig deeper into a groundbreaking development and its potential ramifications.


Imagine a world where your thoughts control devices, cities run themselves, and digital interfaces merge seamlessly with reality. This may sound like science fiction, but it's rapidly becoming our new normal. In this post, we'll explore three groundbreaking technologies - brain-computer interfaces (BCIs), smart cities, and augmented reality (AR) - that could fundamentally transform society in the coming decades.

Brain-Computer Interfaces: The Next Frontier

Brain-computer interfaces allow direct communication between the brain and external devices, potentially enabling thought-controlled technology. As futurist and author Ramez Naam notes, "BCIs will be transformative, on the same level as the computer, internet, and smartphone".

Recent breakthroughs by companies like Neuralink, which successfully implanted a BCI in a human, point to a future where BCIs are as common as smartphones. Neuralink's device uses flexible threads thinner than a human hair to detect neural activity, and has been tested in pigs and monkeys with promising results.

However, significant technical and ethical challenges remain. Improving device longevity, ensuring neural data privacy, and equitable access are key hurdles. A RAND Corporation report on BCIs highlights that "policymakers will need to address issues of privacy, autonomy, agency, and equality" as the technology advances.

Despite the obstacles, the potential benefits are immense. BCIs could restore communication and control for paralyzed individuals, enhance human cognition, and revolutionize how we interact with technology. As tech ethicist and law professor Nita Farahany puts it, "The greatest potential for BCIs is to improve the human condition, but we must proactively address the risks".

Smart Cities: Urban Spaces Get an AI Upgrade


Urban spaces are getting exponentially smarter as artificial intelligence (AI), 5G/6G connectivity, and ubiquitous Internet of Things (IoT) sensors combine to create responsive environments. Smart city tech is being used to optimize systems like traffic, energy, and public safety by analyzing real-time data streams.

A recent study in the journal Sustainability highlights how smart city technologies can improve urban quality of life:

"Smart cities leverage IoT and AI to enhance city services, reduce costs and resource consumption, and engage more effectively with citizens".


Key players in the space include Alphabet's Sidewalk Labs, which is developing a prototype smart city in Toronto, as well as telecom giants like Huawei and Cisco. However, concerns linger over data privacy and surveillance. As urban planning expert Anthony Townsend cautions, "We must ensure that smart cities serve the people, not the other way around".

To address these issues, cities are exploring new governance frameworks and data sharing models. Barcelona, for example, has launched an open data platform giving citizens greater control over their information.

Augmented Reality: Blending the Digital and Physical


Augmented Reality (AR) overlays digital information on the real world, offering more intuitive ways to interact with data and our surroundings. Advances in wearables and 5G are making consumer-friendly AR glasses viable, which could supplant smartphones as our primary interface.

A 2021 study in the journal Virtual Reality & Intelligent Hardware predicts that "AR will become the next general purpose platform, revolutionizing domains from education to entertainment to healthcare".

Tech giants are heavily investing in AR, recognizing its massive potential. Apple was rumoured to release AR glasses in 2023, while Microsoft's HoloLens and Magic Leap are already being used in fields like manufacturing and medicine.

However, AR also raises concerns about privacy, distraction, and content moderation. As AR pioneer and computer scientist Louis Rosenberg warns, "We must proactively set guidelines to ensure AR enhances rather than diminishes our shared experience of reality."

Implications and Challenges: Navigating a Transforming World


BCIs, smart cities, and AR offer immense transformative potential, but also pose profound challenges that mustn't be ignored. These technologies could boost productivity, creativity, access, and quality of life, but may also disrupt industries, exacerbate inequalities, and raise thorny ethical quandaries.

Policymakers, researchers, ethicists, and the public must proactively collaborate to mitigate risks and steer innovation towards benefiting humanity. As MIT Media Lab director Dava Newman asserts, "We have a responsibility to ensure emerging technologies reflect our values and serve the greater good" .

Challenges include ensuring responsible development, preventing abuse and unintended consequences, preserving human agency, and distributing benefits fairly. We must grapple with questions like:

  • How can we ensure BCIs don't widen the gap between enhanced and unenhanced humans?
  • What safeguards are needed to protect privacy and civil liberties in smart cities?
  • How might AR transform education, work, and social interactions in unpredictable ways?



Engaging with these issues proactively will be essential for realizing the positive potential of these powerful tools.

Towards a Thriving Future

BCIs, smart cities, and AR herald an undeniably exciting future, but one that is not without risks and pitfalls. As we stand on the cusp of this technological revolution, the path forward is ours to shape.

Will we wield these technologies with wisdom to build a thriving society or allow them to use us? The choice is ours to make. In the prescient words of futurist and philosopher Jason Silva, "We are the architects of our realities, and technology is the toolkit with which we construct them".

By proactively addressing challenges, stewarding responsible innovation, and keeping human flourishing as our north star, we can create a future where technology brings out the best in us. The transformative power is in our hands - let us use it wisely.

References

  1. Benisek, Marketa. “Will Technology Serve Humanity Well? How to Tell If Technology Will Serve Humanity Well? Notes from the Center for Humane Technology Webinar.” Wholegrain Digital, 13 Feb. 2024, https://www.wholegraindigital.com/blog/will-tech-serve-humanity-well/.
  2. “Brain Implants Will Arrive Sooner Than You Think. What Does That Mean?” Built In, https://builtin.com/articles/brain-computer-interfaces-future. Accessed 14 Aug. 2024.
  3. “Brain Scans Can Translate a Person’s Thoughts into Words.” MIT Technology Review, https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/05/01/1072471/brain-scans-can-translate-a-persons-thoughts-into-words/. Accessed 14 Aug. 2024.
  4. Gates, Bill. “The Age of AI Has Begun.” Gatesnotes.Com, https://www.gatesnotes.com/The-Age-of-AI-Has-Begun. Accessed 14 Aug. 2024.
  5. Kawala-Sterniuk, Aleksandra, et al. “Summary of over Fifty Years with Brain-Computer Interfaces—A Review.” Brain Sciences, vol. 11, no. 1, Jan. 2021, p. 43. PubMed Central, https://doi.org/10.3390/brainsci11010043.
  6. Masci, David. “Human Enhancement.” Pew Research Center, 26 July 2016, https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2016/07/26/human-enhancement-the-scientific-and-ethical-dimensions-of-striving-for-perfection/.
  7. O’Gieblyn, Meghan. “God in the Machine: My Strange Journey into Transhumanism.” The Guardian, 18 Apr. 2017. The Guardian, https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/apr/18/god-in-the-machine-my-strange-journey-into-transhumanism.
  8. Samuel, Sigal. “Elon Musk Wants to Merge Humans with AI. How Many Brains Will Be Damaged along the Way?” Vox, 16 Oct. 2023, https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23899981/elon-musk-ai-neuralink-brain-computer-interface.
  9. Shih, Jerry J., et al. “Brain-Computer Interfaces in Medicine.” Mayo Clinic Proceedings, vol. 87, no. 3, Mar. 2012, pp. 268–79. PubMed Central, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mayocp.2011.12.008.
  10. Vogels, Janna Anderson, Lee Rainie and Emily A. “Experts Say the ‘New Normal’ in 2025 Will Be Far More Tech-Driven, Presenting More Big Challenges.” Pew Research Center, 18 Feb. 2021, https://www.pewresearch.org/internet/2021/02/18/experts-say-the-new-normal-in-2025-will-be-far-more-tech-driven-presenting-more-big-challenges/.